Grupa Azoty reduces production in March and April after difficult first quarter in 2023 - Issue 391 || PKN Orlen-petrochemical production Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Central European styrene trade Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Polish polyethylene production & trade Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Polish polypropylene production & trade Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Polish synthetic rubber trade, Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Central European MDI trade Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Central European methanol trade Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Russian chemical industry-new terminals required to serve Chinese market - Issue 391 || Russian butadiene production Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Russian plastics and polyethylene production Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Russian polyethylene trade Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || PTA deliveries from China to Kaliningrad - Issue 391 || Russian methanol production Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Russian methanol exports, Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 391 || Methanol plant at Volgograd signs agreement with Chinese company - Issue 391 || Russian polyurethane raw materials 2023 - Issue 391 || Uzbek methanol island-Air Products - Issue 391 || Russian Methanol Production, exports and domestic sales 2023 - Issue 392 || Polish petrochemical production Jan-May 2023 - Issue 392 || Olefin 111 project outline - Issue 392 || Polimex Mostostal and Naftoremont-Naftobudowa-Olefin 111 project - Issue 392 || Hungarian propylene exports Jan-Apr 2023 - Issue 392 || Central European styrene trade Jan-May 2023 - Issue 392 || Czech petrochemical trade, Jan-May 2023 - Issue 392 || Polish rubber trade Jan-May 2023 - Issue 392 || Hungarian TDI-MDI exports Jan-Feb 2023 - Issue 392 || Russian propylene exports & sales Jan-May 2023 - Issue 392 || KPI polypropylene outage & exports - Issue 392 || Russian methanol producer operational balances 2023 - Issue 396 || Russian Methanol Exports October 2023 - Issue 396 || Polish Polyol Exports 2022-2023 - Issue 396 || Polish Polyol Imports 2022-2023 - Issue 396 || Central European isocyanate trade Jan-Sep 2023 - Issue 396 || Czech polyol imports Jan-Sep 2023 - Issue 396 || Polish polyol trade Jan-Sep 2023 - Issue 396 || Isocyanate/polyol imports from China into Russia - Issue 396 || Russian Methanol Market Analysis January to June 2024, including production and trade balances - Issue 405 || Polish synthetic rubber production and domestic market Jan-Jun 2024 - Issue 405 || Polish Methanol Trade Statistics - Issue 405 ||
 


CIREC news, January 2025

Czech crude imports Jan-Oct 2024

Imports of Russian crude into the Czech Republic dropped from 6.212 million tons in the first ten months in 2023 to 5.260 million tons in the same period in 2024. Imports from Russia accounted for 39% of total crude purchases of 5.260 million tons in January to October 2024, down against 60% of the 6.212 million tons in 2023. Russian crude oil flows to the Czech Republic through the Druzhba were interrupted in early December but were resumed quickly.

Azerbaijan increased crude shipments to the Czech Republic to 2.153 million tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 1.623 million tons in 2023. At the moment Czech refineries could not run at full capacity without Russian crude, but major changes are expected this year in the composition of Czech imports and the expansion of non-Russian crude oil. These sources are intended to be delivered from the Trans-Alpine pipeline, bringing oil from the Italian port of Trieste.

MOL’s oil diversification is now being forced to accelerate

Hungarian Oil Imports (kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Croatia

185.8

297.6

Iraq

0.0

225.4

Kazakhstan

0.0

568.5

Russia

3,146.2

3,503.4

Others

423.4

23.8

Total

3,755.5

4,709.0

MOL slightly increased its share of crude imports from Russia in the first nine months last year although volumes dropped to 3.146 million against 3.503 million tons. Overall imports of crude amounted to 3.756 million in the first ten months in 2024 against 4.709 million tons in 2023. Hungary receives a discounted price for Russian crude but has stated it is prepared to stop its Russian purchases if the EU helps bankroll its switch to other importers. Hungary's refineries could be ready to work without Russian crude by the end of 2026, but that would require EU cash.

MOL signed a wide-ranging cooperation agreement in December with KazMunayGaz, seeking opportunities in Kazakh upstream sector and oil exports to Hungary. This agreement covers oil and gas exploration and production, technology transfer, crude oil supply, and petrochemicals. MOL is also looking at possible exports of Kazakh crude to Europe and Hungary.

Following the EU’s ban on imports of Russian oil since December 2022, Kazakhstan has replaced some of the lost Russian oil that arrives in Germany via the Russian trunkline network and the northern leg of the Druzhba pipeline running across Belarus and Poland.

Polish crude imports Jan-Oct 2024

Polish Crude Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Saudi Arabia

10508.0

9785.1

Lithuania

0.0

25.8

Russia

0.0

1149.8

Kazakhstan

235.1

0.0

Nigeria

895.0

1118.1

Norway

8775.4

7102.6

US

1183.2

1218.3

UK

655.2

796.3

Total

22,663

21,458

Av € per ton

575.0

539.7

From the total of 22.663 million tons of crude imported into Poland in the first ten months in 2024, supplies from Saudi Arabia totalled 10.508 million tons followed by Norway which provided 8.775 million tons. Average prices for Polish crude purchases increased from $539.7 per ton in the first ten months in 2023 to $575.0 per ton last year.

The US was the only other supplier to provide more than a million tons last year, amounting to 1.183 million tons in the first ren months.

Margins have been in decline last year, dropping into single digits in the third quarter and ending in September at $5.5. Previously numbers quite often less than much less than $10 were the norm for Orlen and other regional refiners until the start of 2022 and the indirect consequences resulting from the war in Ukraine.

Polish petrochemical productionJan-Oct 2024

Polish Petrochemical Production

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ethylene

297.5

277.0

Propylene

333.2

239.2

Butadiene

43.514

42.978

Toluene

0.038

0.473

Phenol

31.622

32.209

Polyethylene

258.0

225.7

PVC

189.2

155.8

Polypropylene

271.6

223.0

Ethylene production in Poland increased slightly from 277,000 tons in January to October 2023 to 297,500 tons in the same period in 2024, whilst propylene rose from 239,200 tons to 333,200 tons. Propylene production has been increased this year through start-up of the Polimery Police plant in Poland. Butadiene production at Plock rose marginally to 43,514 tons in the first ten months from 42,978 tons last year. Nearly all of the butadiene produced at Plock is consumed by Synthos.

Main factors cited for stopping Olefiny III

· inadequately defined scope of the investment, i.e. not all required OSBL infrastructure have been planned

· underestimated financing costs and time necessary for construction

· underestimated necessary CAPEX, which would increase total project costs up to zl 45-51 billion

In the plastics sector polyethylene production in Poland amounted to 258,000 tons in January to October 2024 versus 225,700 tons in 2023. Polypropylene production increased from 223,000 tons to 271,600 tons. PVC production increased from 155,800 tons to 189,200 tons.

Orlen confirms scaling down of Olefiny III

Orlen announced on 11 December 2024 that it had approved to stop construction of the Olefiny III complex. The project, which had been developed and started under the previous management is expected to continue in a much-restructured format under the name New Petrochemicals or Nowa Chemia.

Olefiny III-Nowa Chemia contractors

Orlen is now conducting negotiations with its’ business partners involved in the Olefiny project and to judge how to take investments forward under Nowa Chemia. By 30 September 2025, Orlen’s management board has set the challenge of preparing and publishing the a revised budget for what remains of Olefiny III together with the required OSBL infrastructure.

Contractors Hyundai Engineering and Técnicas Reunidas originally secured the project contract from Orlen in June 2021. The construction of the Olefiny III complex was originally conceived as one of the key elements in the transformation of Orlen’s existing refining and petrochemical assets. The Olefiny III complex included a plant that produces olefins using the steam cracking process, in addition to energy, auxiliary and infrastructure installations and systems.

By the end of the third quarter in 2024, the amount of capital expenditure outlaid for the Olefiny III complex had amounted to zl 12.6 billion (€2.958 billion). Further work will now be conducted under within “New Petrochemicals” project in the optimized scope rationalizing required CAPEX.

Focus of New Petrochemicals project at Plock

The decision of the company's corporate bodies to abandon Olefiny III is aimed at minimizing value damage that have been faced had the project been continued in its current scope.

Current activity will now concentrate on the core olefin unit (ISBL) and additional infrastructure (OSBL). Orlen’s management stated that some relevant design and technical problems of ISBL unit were identified and recognized. Olefiny III was started not only to replace the existing capacities, but also to increase the Group's share in the European petrochemical market from around 5% to around 6.4%.

In the new format, the construction of ethylene unit is expected to be undertaken raising capacity to 740,000 tpa but it is important to note that this plant will not be operational before 2030. Originally, the investment was to be completed at the beginning of 2024, but during the PiS government, the deadline was postponed to 2027. Although the decision to construct Olefiny III was taken in 2018, it was originally considered almost twenty years ago after the modernisation of Olefiny II.

In order to reduce the negative economic effects of its investment in Olefiny III, Orlen wants to use the infrastructure as a basis for developing the Nowa Chemia project. This project is intended at this stage to include the construction of a modern installation for the production of monomers. It will also focus on the company's sales capabilities in the area of ethylene oxide and glycols, styrene and butadiene.

Central European petrochemical prices

Central European Chemical Prices 2024 (€/ton)

Product

June

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Ethylene

1335.7

1318.0

1307.4

1245.9

1304.8

Propylene

841.6

944.6

973.6

891.5

811.0

Butadiene

892.0

885.7

909.2

841.2

882.4

Benzene

769.7

878.2

794.8

826.8

843.8

Toluene

1010.7

1014.0

956.1

874.3

807.3

Styrene

1435.3

1236.6

1294.6

1366.1

1129.9

 

Margins for petrochemical products in Central Europe faced significant pressures last year even if prices were in line with recent historical averages. Of the olefin monomers, ethylene prices started at €1335.7 per ton in January 2024, dropping slightly to €1304.8 per ton in October. Butadiene prices started at €707 per ton in January and rose to €854.3 per ton in September whilst propylene declined from €861.7 per ton in January to €882.4 per ton in September. Toluene and styrene prices in Central Europe trended lower in the second half of the year, whilst benzene tended to stabilise and averaged €843.8 per ton in October.

Polish propylene imports, Jan-Oct 2024

Polish Propylene Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Bulgaria

3.029

13.119

Croatia

0.000

3.718

Czech Republic

5.750

15.182

Germany

68.745

45.907

Hungary

0.000

2.337

Serbia

0.000

4.828

Netherlands

0.000

16.677

Others

1.213

2.325

Total

79.459

104.094

Av price

847.2

897.0

Poland imported 79,459 tons of propylene in January to October last year against 101,094 tons in January to October 2023. Imports declined last year due to the availability of propylene from the new Polimery Police plant. This allowed a surplus of over 11,000 tons to be exported. Average import prices dropped from €897.0 per ton to €847.2 last year. Germany was the main supplier to Poland, shipping 68,745 tons against 45,907 tons in the first ten months last year.

Polish butadiene imports, Jan-Oct 2024

Polish Butadiene Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Austria

31.641

25.173

Czech R

1.530

0.909

Germany

21.715

20.159

Hungary

28.843

17.981

Others

1.381

4.252

Total

84.203

68.473

Av € per ton

880.4

922.8

 

Butadiene import prices for Poland rose slightly from 880.4 per ton on average in January to October 2023 to €922.8 in January to October 2023, with volumes rising from 68,473 tons to 84,203 tons. Synthos is the major importer of butadiene in Poland, whilst Hungary was the largest supplier, shipping 28,843 tons in the first ten months against 17,981 tons in 2023. The increase in imports in 2024 into Poland was driven by the increase in synthetic rubber production at Oswiecim.

 

Hungarian propylene & butadiene imports, Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian Propylene Exports (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Total

63.777

62.988

Av € per ton

941.9

1096.9

Hungarian Butadiene Exports (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Total

41.509

30.909

Av € per ton

841.5

856.9

Exports of propylene from Hungary amounted to 63,777 tons in January to September last year against 62,988 tons in January to September 2023, most of which went to Slovakia. Prices averaged €941.8 per ton in the first nine months against €1096.9 per ton in 2023. Hungarian butadiene exports amounted to 41,509 tons in the first nine months against 30,909 tons in the same period in 2023. Shipments into Poland totalled 23,129 tons in January to September against 17,014 tons last year whilst exports to Germany rose from 1,995 tons to 8,211 tons. Average prices for Hungarian butadiene exports fell to €841.5 per ton versus €856.9 in 2023.

Czech olefin monomer trade, Jan-Oct 2024

Czech Olefin Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ethylene

13.741

12.369

Propylene

9.332

18.075

Czech Olefin Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ethylene

3.658

28.745

Propylene

36.249

30.875

Butadiene

37.808

57.484

Czech ethylene trade fell in volume last year, as imports fell from 28,745 tons in January to October 2023 to 3,658 tons in the same period in 2024. Ethylene exports from the Czech Republic amounted to 13,741 tons against 12,369 tons in the first ten months in 2023.

 

Czech polyethylene trade Jan-Oct 2024

 

Czech Polyethylene Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

LDPE

91.690

87.565

LLDPE

17.484

19.706

HDPE

102.065

99.403

EVA

10.217

8.925

Other

34.880

36.266

Total

256.336

251.865

Av € per ton

1486.7

1600.7

Czech prices for both imports and exports of polyolefins have trended lower in the first ten months in 2024 against the corresponding period in 2023, but at the same time trade has increased slightly by volume.

For imports of all forms of polyethylene, Czech inward shipments amounted to 256,336 tons in January to October 2024 against 251,865 tons in the same period in 2023, with prices dropping from €1600.7 per ton to €1486.7 per ton. Germany was the largest source of polyethylene imports, followed by the Netherlands and Belgium.

Czech Polyethylene Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

LDPE

31.743

23.442

LLDPE

3.517

3.013

HDPE

280.697

301.233

EVA

3.302

2.784

Other

13.344

19.007

Total

332.603

349.478

Av € per ton

1385.7

1299.0

Polyethylene exports from the Czech Republic amounted to 332,603 tons in the first ten months last year against 349,478 tons in 2023. Average prices increased from €1299.0 per ton in 2023 to €1385.7 per ton in 2024.

HDPE export shipments comprised 280,697 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 301,233 tons in the same period in 2023. Germany was the largest destination for Czech HDPE supplied from Litvinov. Other important markets for Czech polyethylene exports include Poland, Italy and Belgium.

Polish polyethylene tradeJan-Oct 2024

Polish PE Supply/Demand Balance

(unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Production

258.0

225.7

Exports

278.2

291.8

Imports

1163.8

1041.5

Market Balance

1111.3

1020.7

Polish total foreign trade in polyethylene increased in the first ten months last year against the same period in 2023 for both imports and exports. Consumption of polyethylene increased in the first ten months in 2024 to 1.111 million tons against 1.021 million tons in the same period in 2023.

Polish PE imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

LDPE

302.227

283.454

LLDPE

183.646

170.881

HDPE

374.525

352.749

EVA

16.619

16.401

EAO

239.763

167.250

Others

47.036

50.761

Total

1163.816

1041.496

Av € per ton

1283.5

1366.7

Polish imports of polyethylene totalled 1.164 million tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 1.042 million tons in the same period in 2023, with average prices falling from €1366.7 per ton to €1283.5 per ton. HDPE is the largest category of imported polyethylene into Poland, amounting to 374,525 tons in January to October 2024 versus 352,749 tons in January to October 2023. Germany is the largest supplier of HDPE to the Polish market.

LLDPE imports rose from 170,881 tons in January to October 2023 to 183,646 tons in the corresponding period in 2024. Most of the LLDPE imports were sourced mostly from West Europe, including France, the Netherlands and Germany. LDPE imports increased to 302,227 tons versus 283,454 tons in 2023. last year. Imports from ethylene alpha olefins increased in the first ten months in 2023 from 167,250 tons to 239,763 tons in the same period in 2024.

Polish polyethylene exports amounted to 278,190 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 291,799 tons in the same period in 2023. Average prices for polyethylene exports from Poland fell overall in 2024, dropping to €1281 per ton. Prices for export categories have tended to drop whilst imports have risen.

Polish PE Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Product Group

Jan-Oct 23

Jan-Oct 22

LDPE

61.953

52.358

LLDPE

15.894

18.359

HDPE

169.422

197.582

EVA

2.977

2.132

EAO

19.444

17.237

Other

8.500

4.130

Total

278.190

291.799

€ per ton

1281.2

1654.0

Exports of HDPE from Poland declined from 197,582 tons in January to October 2023 to 169,422 tons in the same period in 2024 whilst LDPE exports rose from 52,358 tons to 61,953 tons. Exports of ethylene alpha olefins amounted to 19,444 tons in the first ten months in 2024.

Hungarian polyethylene trade Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian Polyethylene Exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

LLDPE

3.443

5.009

LDPE

59.623

66.588

HDPE

163.874

170.418

Total

237.228

251.692

Av € per ton

1246.2

1247.1

Hungarian polyethylene exports amounted to 237,228 tons in January to September last year against 251,692 tons in January to September 2023, whilst average prices dropped from €1247.1 per ton to €1246.2 per ton. Revenues for polyethylene exports in January to September dropped from €295.6 million in 2024 to €313.9 million in 2023.

In terms of category HDPE exports dropped from 170,418 tons in January to September 2023 to 163,874 tons whilst LDPE exports dropped from 66,588 tons to 59,623 tons.

Hungarian Polyethylene Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

LLDPE

21.968

25.571

LDPE

33.928

34.699

HDPE

74.764

65.386

EAO

12.893

7.169

EVA

4.833

3.107

Other

24.965

17.774

Total

173.351

153.706

Av € per ton

1528.7

1586.8

Hungary remains a net exporter of LDPE and HDPE, whilst continues to be a net importer of LLDPE and ethylene copolymers. Imports of all grades of polyethylene into Hungary amounted to 173,351 tons in January to September last year against 153,706 tons in January to September 2023.

Hungarian import prices for polyethylene decreased on average from €1586.8 per ton to €1528.7 in January to September last year. The largest category of polyethylene imports comprised HDPE, which rose from 65,386 tons to 74,764 tons.

 

Polish PP Trade Jan-Oct 2024

 

Polish PP Supply/Demand Balance

(unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Production

271.6

223.0

Exports

333.6

179.8

Imports

787.5

758.0

Market Balance

725.5

801.1

In contrast to the slight improvement in the Polish polyethylene market last year, polypropylene consumption has been more restrained dropping from 801,100 tons in January to October 2023 to 725,500 tons in January to October 2024.

Polish polypropylene imports, including homo grade and copolymers, increased in the first ten months to 787,481 tons against 757,957 tons in the same period in 2023. However, the key to lower consumption in Poland has been the significant rise in export activity.

Polish Polypropylene Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Category

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

PP homo

496.083

491.260

Polyisobutylene

2.333

2.233

Propylene copolymers

268.527

245.519

Other

20.539

18.945

Total

787.481

757.957

Av € per ton

1560.0

1460.4

Average prices for all types of polypropylene imports increased from €1460.4 per ton to €1560.0 per ton. Homo grade polypropylene imports increased from 491,260 tons in January to October 2023 to 496,083 tons in 2024, whilst copolymer imports increased from 245,519 tons to 268,527 tons. Total import costs of propylene polymers amounted to €882.123 million against €880.023 million in the same eight months in 2023.

Export shipments from Poland more than doubled in the first ten months last year, rising to 333,575 tons against 179,808 tons in January to October 2023. Homo polymer grades comprised the main category of Polish polypropylene exports, where Germany was the largest destination.

In terms of pricing, imports into Poland usually face a higher premium than exports primarily due to the volumes of propylene copolymers than enter the country. The price differential between imports and exports in 2024 attained averages around €200 per ton, despite starting at a similar figure at the start of the year.

Polish Polypropylene Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Category

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

PP homo

248.506

118.779

Polyisobutylene

1.002

0.592

Propylene copolymers

77.460

57.650

Other

6.606

2.786

Total

333.575

179.808

Av € per ton

1305.5

1459.5

Exports of homo polymer grade polypropylene from Poland more than doubled from 118,779 tons in the first ten months in 2023 against 248,506 tons in the same period in 2024, mainly due to the start-up of the Polimery Police plant. This plant is not fully operational yet, but its limited operation has already helped to affect the ratio between imports and exports. When fully operational Polimery Police’s target portfolio includes over 30 types of propylene polymers under the Gryfilen brand.

Hungarian polypropylene trade Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian Polypropylene Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

PP homo

101.440

86.745

Propylene copolymers

41.944

38.598

Others

16.213

23.522

Total

159.596

148.864

Av € per ton

1507.9

1629.0

Exports of all forms of polypropylene from Hungary amounted to 172,393 tons in January to September 2024 versus 173,745 tons in the corresponding period in 2023, with average prices dropping slightly to €1357.8 per ton. Homo-grade PP provides the main category of Hungarian polypropylene exports, amounting to 94,938 tons in the first nine months last year versus 94,491 tons in 2023.

 

Hungarian Polypropylene Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

PP homo

94.938

94.491

Propylene copolymers

62.354

67.843

Others

15.101

11.412

Total

172.393

173.745

Av € per ton

1348.9

1295.5

For imports of all forms of polypropylene, Hungarian inward shipments increased to 159,596 tons in January to September 2024 from 148,864 tons in 2023, with average prices dropping from €1629.0 per ton to €1507.9 per ton. Imports of propylene copolymers increased from 38,598 tons to 41,944 tons whilst homo grade polypropylene imports increased from 86,745 tons to 101,440 tons.

Czech polypropylene tradeJan-Oct 2024

Czech Polypropylene Exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

PP Homo

194.644

184.386

Propylene Copolymers

40.871

39.676

Other

4.677

27.895

Total

240.192

251.957

Av € per ton

1477.3

1364.9

Czech polypropylene imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

PP Homo

244.789

247.269

Propylene Copolymers

183.228

180.582

Other

15.558

12.121

Total

443.575

439.972

Av € per ton

1583.1

1599.9

Exports of all forms of polypropylene from the Czech Republic amounted to 240,192 tons in January to October 2024 versus 251,957 tons in the same period in 2023, with average prices rising from €1364.9 per ton to €1477.3 per ton in 2024.

Homo-grade PP provides the main category of Czech polypropylene exports, amounting to 194,644 tons in the first ten months last year versus 184,386 tons in 2023. For imports of all forms of polypropylene, Czech inward shipments amounted to 443,575 tons in January to October 2024 from 439,872 tons in 2023, with average prices dropping from €1599.9 per ton to €1583.1 per ton. Imports of propylene copolymers increased slightly from 180,582 tons to 183,228 tons whilst homo grade polypropylene imports dropped from 247,269 tons to 244,789 tons.

Czech synthetic rubber tradeJan-Oct 2024

Czech Rubber Trade (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Exports synthetic rubber

109.572

127.581

Imports synthetic rubber

117.879

107.332

Imports natural rubber

78.173

68.330

Exports of synthetic rubber amounted to 109,572 tons in January to October 2024 versus 127,581 tons in the same ten-month period in 2023. At the same time imports increased from 107,332 tons to 177,879 tons in January to October 2023.

Czech butadiene rubber trade Jan-Oct 2024

Czech butadiene rubber exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

France

2.913

3.031

Germany

5.341

0.000

Hungary

6.558

6.724

India

14.776

12.035

Italy

3.774

0.000

Poland

9.473

12.329

Romania

6.723

0.000

Serbia

6.231

2.581

Slovakia

5.323

11.067

South Korea

5.138

11.538

Spain

4.196

0.000

Turkey

7.254

4.006

US

0.179

0.857

Others

11.309

34.105

Total

89.188

98.275

Revenues €

154.054

196.549

Av € per ton

1736.6

1658.3

The Czech Republic exported 89,188 tons of butadiene rubber in the first ten months in 2024 against 98,275 tons in the same period in 2023. Average prices rose from €1658.3 per ton to €1736.6 per ton.

Czech exports of butadiene rubber to India amounted to 14,776 tons in January to October 2024 against 12.035 tons in the same period in 2023. Other important markets included Poland where exports amounted to 9,473 tons against 12,329 tons. Besides exports the Czech Republic also imported 25,023 tons of butadiene rubber in the first ten months in 2024. Imports were sourced largely from Germany and the US.

Hungarian synthetic rubber trade Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian imports of synthetic rubber amounted to 80,934 tons in January to September against 100,135 tons in January to September last year. Average prices increased from €2247.7 per ton to €2454.0 in 2024.

Hungarian synthetic rubber Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Butadiene Rubber

21.066

35.290

SBR

43.228

39.564

Other

14.972

19.445

Total

80.934

100.135

Revenues € mil

198.611

225.075

Av € per ton

2454.0

2247.7

Butadiene rubber imports into Hungary dropped from 35,290 tons to 21,056 tons, with the largest source coming from Indonesia. SBR imports rose from 39,564 tons to 43,228 tons. Synthetic rubber exports from Hungary amounted to 44,615 tons in the first nine months last year of which SBR grades accounted for 38,588 tons.

MOL sells its stake in the rubber plant at Tiszaujavros

MOL and Japan's ENEOS Materials Corporation signed a purchase agreement in December, according to which ENEOS will buy MOL's 49% stake in ENEOS MOL Synthetic Rubber Kft. Following the transaction, ENEOS will become the 100% owner of the company at Tiszaujvaros. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory approval.

MOL started to establish a plant suitable for the production of synthetic rubber in the field of MOL Petrochemicals in 2015 in a joint venture with JSR Corporation of Japan. The S-SBR (styrene butadiene rubber solvent) plant started operations in 2020. JSR's 51% stake in the joint venture was acquired by ENEOS in 2022. According to the agreement, ENEOS will continue its manufacturing activities at the Tiszaujvaros plant. MOL will remain a key raw material supplier, trading and service partner of the company in the future.

Central European rubber trade Jan-Oct 2024

For all types of synthetic rubber imports into Poland average prices dropped from €2216.9 in January to October 2023 to €1831.1 in the first ten months in 2024. Hungarian import prices rose from €2267.0 per ton to €2468.8 per ton, which is higher than elsewhere in Central Europe. This is determined predominantly by the higher value grades imported into Hungary.

Polish Synthetic Rubber Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

ESBR

25.042

17.743

Block SBR

35.989

32.075

S-SBR

26.408

17.849

Butadiene Rubber

64.747

46.815

Butyl Rubber

3.270

3.846

HBR

8.257

8.295

NBR

8.389

5.502

Isoprene Rubber

35.147

11.097

EPDM

36.038

36.455

Others

25.519

42.423

Total

268.806

222.100

Av € per ton

1,860.5

2,131.1

Poland imported a total of 268,806 tons of synthetic rubber in January to October 2024 against 222,100 tons in the same period in 2023. By category. butadiene rubber was the largest product, accounting for 64,747 tons against 46,815 tons in the same period in 2023. Isoprene rubber imports jumped from 11,097 tons in the first ten months last year to 35,147 tons in the same period in 2024. The largest suppliers of all grades of synthetic rubber in the first ten months in 2024 included Germany, Belgium and Saudi Arabia.

Natural rubber imports into Poland totalled 80,534 tons in the first ten months last year at an average price of €1690 per ton. Natural rubber accounts for around a third of total rubber consumption in Poland.

Polish Exports of Synthetic Rubber

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

SBR

177.707

154.413

Butadiene Rubber

61.499

38.745

Isoprene Rubber

30.975

9.411

Others

16.576

30.203

Total

286.757

232.772

Av € per ton

1647.5

1584.1

Synthetic rubber exports from Poland amounted to 286,757 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 232,772 tons in January to October 2023. Exports of butadiene rubber from Poland amounted to 61,499 tons in January to October versus 38,745 tons in the same period in 2023. The largest category of rubber exports focuses on SBR grades.

 

Prices of synthetic rubber exports from Poland increased from €1584.1 per ton in the first ten months last year to €1647.5 per ton last year. Although both import and export volumes for synthetic rubber have been very similar last year, the prices for imported grades mostly exceed export prices. The trend for all forms of trade have been downward since the start of 2023.

 

Polish synthetic rubber production and domestic market Jan-Oct 2024

Synthos Production (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Polystyrene

55.5

61.1

EPS

68.3

76.9

Synthetic Rubber

216.0

168.3

Synthetic rubber production at Oswiecim for Synthos amounted to 216,000 tons in January to October 2024 against 168,300 tons in 2023. Synthos has managed to diversify its export markets which has allowed the company to increase production over 2023. At the same time the production of synthetic rubber has been affected by demand side factors which saw a reduction of consumption in 2023. Although synthetic rubber production increased in 2024 the extra output was channelled into export activity rather than domestic consumption.

Synthos performance 2024

Despite the drop in sales of synthetic rubber by Synthos in the past three years the company is reporting reasonable financial results. Total sales volumes for Synthos in the first three quarters in 2024 amounted to 809,000 tons compared to 807,000 tons in the same period in 2023. Sales volumes of rubbers increased 5%, as Synthos increased exports of butadiene rubber and SBR grades. Sales could have been higher had it not been for production problems in the third quarter at both Schkopau in Germany and Kralupy in the Czech Republic. The production problems in the third quarter were reflected in lower sales than recorded in the first and second quarters in 2024 but still remained higher than in 2023. Whilst rubber sales increased volumes of insulation materials fell by 8%, or 27,000 tons, against the first three quarters in 2023. This was due to the low consumption in the construction sector which affected sales of white grades of expandable polystyrene. Grey grades of expandable polystyrene which are used in packaging remained stable.

Polish aromatic exportsJan-Oct 2024

Polish Aromatic Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Benzene

130.455

127.506

Bisphenol A

4.089

8.029

P Anhydride

4.858

2.823

PTA

211.067

115.284

Styrene

1.184

0.065

TDI

3.471

3.249

Toluene

1.209

2.605

Polish exports of benzene totalled 130,455 tons in January to October 2024 against 127,506 tons in the same period in 2023. Exports to Germany increased in the first ten months in 2023 from 86,311 tons to 113,922 tons in the same period in 2024, with average prices rising from 754.3 per ton to €946.8 per ton. Benzene exports from Poland are supplied largely from Petrochemia Blachownia at Kedzierzyn-Kozle.

PTA is the only aromatic product where exports are shipped in significant volume from Poland. PTA is also imported into Poland, amounting to 11,511 tons in the first ten months in 2024.

Polish aromatic importsJan-Oct 2024

Polish Aromatic Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Adipic Acid

10.257

10.001

Bisphenol A

6.630

14.089

Caprolactam

10.884

10.442

Ethylbenzene

85.115

107.206

Paraxylene

39.403

0.000

Phenol

90.987

70.260

Phthalic Anhydride

31.825

30.110

PTA

11.511

5.677

Styrene

64,537

46,651

TDI

68.695

64.732

Toluene

18.930

21.652

Phenol imports into Poland amounted to 90,987 tons in January to October 2024 which was up from 70,260 tons in 2023. Germany was the dominant supplier of phenol to Poland, shipping 67,665 tons against 49,963 tons in the same period in 2023. Spain and Finland accounted for smaller shipments.

Average prices for phenol imported into Poland dropped in the first ten months to €1155.7 per ton measured against €1215.1 per ton in 2023. Increased phenol imports offset the drop in phenol production at Plock in the first ten months in 2024 to 31.622 tons versus 32,668 tons in the same period in 2023.

In other product areas, styrene imports into Poland amounted to 64,537 tons in the period January to October 2024 against 46,651 tons in the same period in 2023. The Netherlands was the largest supplier shipping 21,283 tons against 21,930 tons in January to October 2023. Saudi Arabia supplied 7,707 tons in the first ten months in 2024, the first time that styrene had been sold into Poland. Ethylbenzene imports amounted to 85,115 tons against 107,206 tons in the same period last year. All the ethylbenzene was shipped from Kralupy to Oswiecim, all within the structures of the Synthos Group.

Caprolactam imports into Poland amounted to 10,884 tons in the first ten months last year versus 10,442 tons in the same period in 2024. Caprolactam production remains idle at Pulawy, operated by Grupa Azoty, although the Tarnow plant is working. The PA6 product chain remains under pressure although logistical constraints caused by attacks in Red Sea resulted in a greater demand for the use of products from Europe.

In the first ten months Poland imported over 39,403 tons of paraxylene against zero in the same period in 2023. France was the main supplier followed by the Netherlands.

Polish PTA exportsJan-Oct 2024

Polish Exports of PTA (unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Belarus

0.000

1.322

Belgium

3.004

0.240

France

2.508

7.492

Germany

261.131

159.669

Lithuania

15.473

1.618

Switzerland

0.000

4.297

Turkey

12.552

8.772

Others

26.167

13.864

Total

320.836

197.273

Av Price €

771.9

851.3

PTA exports increased sharply in the first ten months from 197,273 tons in 2023 to 320,836 tons in the same period in 2024. Production was reduced substantially in 2023 due to a combination of weak demand and extended maintenance. Exports to Germany increased from 159,669 tons to 261,131 tons. Average prices for PTA changed from €851.3 per ton in the first ten months in 2023 to €771.9 per ton.

Czech aromatic trade Jan-Oct 2024

Czech Aromatic Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Aniline

71.199

57.950

Benzene

18.244

16.445

Toluene

8.547

9.497

Ethylbenzene

81.813

103.566

Styrene

9.170

10.720

Caprolactam

16.721

16.370

P Anhydride

6,825

7,255

Czech Aromatic Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Benzene

34.500

22.489

Toluene

4.796

5.758

Styrene

15.351

24.739

Bisphenol A

26.584

23.810

Regarding Czech trade in aromatic monomers and derivatives, styrene exports from Kralupy amounted to 9,170 tons against 10,720 tons in January to October 2023. At the same time imports of styrene dropped from 24,739 tons to 15,351 tons. Styrene prices increased from €1064.8 per ton to €1284.2 in 2024.

Benzene imports into the Czech Republic increased in the first ten months in 2024 to 34,500 tons against 22,489 tons in January to October 2023, whilst toluene imports dropped from 5,758 tons to 4,796 tons. Benzene imports are sourced from Poland, Hungary and Serbia. Czech benzene exports increased to 18,244 tons in January to October 2024 against 16,445 tons in the same period in 2023, whilst toluene exports dropped from 9,497 tons to 8,547 tons. Imports of bisphenol A rose from 23,810 tons to 26,584 tons.

Aniline exports amounted to 71,199 tons in the first ten months in 2024, of which 58,876 tons were shipped to Hungary. This represented an increase against 50,791 tons in January to October 2023 from the total of 57,950 tons. All of the aniline shipped from the Czech Republic is produced at Ostrava by BorsodChem-MCHZ, and most of the exports are shipped to BorsodChem in Hungary.

Czech caprolactam exports increased from 16,370 tons to 16,721 tons, with prices rising from €1507.0 per ton to €2035.2 in 2024. Italy was the largest destination for Czech caprolactam exports, amounting to 7,875 tons. Other end destinations included Slovenia. The Czech Republic exported 6,825 tons of phthalic anhydride in the first ten months in 2024 for €8.760 million. This compares against 7,255 tons in January to October 2023 for €10.538 million. Phthalic anhydride is supplied by the Czech Republic from the Deza plant at Valasske Mezirici.

Czech Bisphenol A imports & epoxy resin exports

Czech Bisphenol A Imports

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Total Ktons

26.584

23.810

Av Price per ton

1378.5

1468.3

Czech Epoxy Resin Exports

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Total Ktons

42.196

39.577

Av Price per ton

2275.1

3165.1

Bisphenol A imports into the Czech Republic totalled 26,584 tons in January to October 2024 against 23,810 tons in the same period in 2023. South Korea increased shipments from 10,518 tons to 21,490 tons. The largest user of bisphenol A in the Czech Republic is Spolchemie at Ust nad Labem, where epoxy resins are produced.

Czech exports of epoxy resins amounted to 42,196 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 39,577 tons in 2023. Prices fell sharply from €3165.1 per ton to €2275.1 per ton in 2023. Germany remains the largest market for Czech epoxy resins, accounting for 15,695 tons in the first ten months in 2024 which was down from 17,709 tons in 2023. Spolchemie’s capacity for epoxy resin production amounts to 100,000 tpa.

Hungarian aromatic trade Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian Benzene Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Czech Republic

3.259

11.900

Germany

7.912

1.995

Poland

15.352

17.014

Others

6.517

0.000

Total

32.901

30.909

Av € per ton

817.3

856.9

Hungarian benzene exports amounted to 32,901 tons in January to September against 30,909 tons in the same period in 2023. Benzene production in Hungary takes place at Szazhalombatta. Shipments from this refinery to the Czech Republic dropped from 11,900 tons to 3,259 tons whilst shipments to Poland dropped from 17,014 tons to 15,352 tons.

Toluene imports into Hungary amounted to 31,284 tons in January to September last year for costs of €26.783 million. This increased from 25,854 tons in the first nine months in 2023 for costs of €29.418 million. Toluene is used by BorsodChem in the production of TDI.

Hungarian TDI-MDI exportsJan-Sep 2024

Hungarian TDI Exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Austria

2.424

2.216

Belgium

24.801

23.834

Germany

8.532

6.912

Italy

22.159

20.492

Poland

21.289

19.433

Portugal

4.734

8.169

Romania

10.458

10.817

Spain

7.601

7.585

Turkey

28.292

24.317

Others

53.862

53.911

Total

184.151

177.686

Av € per ton

2538.3

2579.8

Hungarian TDI exports rose in January to September to 184,151 tons against 177,686 tons in January to September 2023. Average prices dropped slightly from €2579.8 per ton to €2538.3 per ton. Multiple factors have influenced the decline in prices last year such as polyurethane demand and feedstock costs.

Exports of TDI from Hungary to Belgium rose from 23,834 tons in the first nine months last year to 24,801 tons in January to September, whilst volumes to Italy increased from 20,492 tons to 22,159 tons.

In Central Europe shipments to Poland increased from 19,433 tons to 21,289 tons and rose to Turkey from 24,317 tons to 28,292 tons. Shipments to Romania dropped from 10,817 tons to 10,458 tons.

Hungarian MDI Exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Belgium

10.425

9.025

Czech Republic

8.342

4.874

Germany

16.693

15.436

Algeria

3.370

0.947

Italy

7.899

7.901

France

5.402

7.188

Spain

3.692

3.622

UK

6.185

4.191

Netherlands

7.427

2.798

Poland

28.893

23.836

Romania

10.830

12.519

Turkey

18.418

8.273

Others

35.265

21.878

Total

162.840

122.487

Av € per ton

1935.1

2043.1

MDI exports from Hungary amounted in January to September to 162,840 tons against 122,487 tons in January to September 2023. MDI export prices have undergone a different cycle to TDI in the past two years but have reached similar levels standing at €1935.1 per ton in 2024 against €2538.3 for TDI.

Poland was the largest destination for Hungarian MDI exports, taking 28,893 tons in the first nine months in 2024 versus 23,836 tons in January to September 2023. Exports to France dropped from 7,188 tons to 5,402 tons whilst to Germany exports increased from 15,436 tons to 16,693 tons.

Central European isocyanate tradeJan-Oct 2024

TDI prices in Europe were relatively stable last year allowing an improvement of sales over 2023. This is despite the fact that demand for TDI was sluggish from the downstream polyurethane industries. The European market has been helped to some extent by tightness in the US market and continued logistical problems for supplying isocyanates from Asia.

Polish TDI Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Belgium

4.882

2.233

Germany

16.160

13.717

Hungary

25.716

23.934

Netherlands

4.882

4.238

Saudi Arabia

0.436

2.234

South Korea

6.357

7.562

Others

2.838

4.188

Total

62.889

58.106

Av € per ton

1999.9

2603.0

TDI imports into Poland amounted to 62,889 tons in January to October 2024 against 58,106 tons in January to October 2023. Prices of TDI imported into Poland dropped from €2603.0 per ton last year to €1999.9 per ton. Hungary was the largest supplier in the first ten months in 2024, shipping 25,716 tons to Poland versus 23,934 tons in January to October 2023.

MDI imports into Poland totalled 142,335 tons in January to October 2024, up against 109,256 tons in January to October 2023. Average prices dropped from €2103.9 per ton to €1923.6 in January to October 2023.

Germany increased MDI shipments to Poland to 39,520 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 29,708 tons in January to October 2023, whilst imports from Hungary amounted to 33,649 tons against 26,314 tons. Belgium increased shipments of MDI to 29,744 tons in last year from 19,253 tons in the same eight months in 2023. Other suppliers included the Netherlands and South Korea.

Polish MDI Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Germany

39.520

29.708

Netherlands

23.395

18.865

Hungary

33.649

26.314

Belgium

29.744

19.142

South Korea

7.304

5.554

Others

8.723

9.673

Total

142.335

109.256

Av € per ton

1923.6

2103.9

MDI imports into the Czech Republic totalled 34,751 tons in January to October 2024 against 31,376 tons in the same period in 2023. Average prices dropped from €2224.0 per ton to €2080.4 per ton. The leading supplier in 2024 was Belgium which shipped 8,512 tons against 7,954 tons in January to October 2023. Imports from Hungary dropped from 9,076 tons to 7,388 tons.

Czech MDI imports (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Total

34.751

31.376

Av Price € per ton

2080.4

2224.0

European polyol market challenges

Downstream markets for polyether-polyols were severely affected in 2024 due to the macro-environment. The upholstered furniture industry was particularly affected, with many furniture manufacturers having to reduce production or even face the risk of bankruptcy due to falling demand. Automotive production has declined due to supply chain disruptions and weak demand, further reducing demand for polyether polyols.

Polyether polyol suppliers in Europe were forced to reduce production levels last year after cost pressures were faced from propylene oxide prices. The overall market is tight due to weak demand, especially in the automotive and upholstered furniture sectors, which have demonstrated a significant reduction in demand for polyether polyols.

Czech polyol importsJan-Oct 2024

Czech Polyol Imports (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Total

29.736

39.322

Av € per ton

2310.1

2566.1

 

Czech polyol imports amounted to 38,046 tons in the first ten months last year against 47,156 tons in the same period in 2023, with average prices dropping from €2460.1 per ton to €2306.2 per ton. Polyol prices in Europe continue to suffer from weak demand. The leading supplier to the Czech Republic last year was Belgium shipping 10,851 tons in the period January to October against 14,123 tons in 2023.

 

Hungarian polyol imports Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian Polyol Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Total

27.179

36.184

Av € per ton

1869.5

2364.6

 

Imports of polyols into Hungary dropped in the first nine months last year to 25,200 tons against 36,184 tons in the same period in 2023. Imports increased from 7,758 tons to 8,092 tons in January to September 2024. MOL’s new plant at Tiszaujvaros once fully operational should impact on import volumes in 2025 as the more domestic customers switch to local supply. Relatively low domestic consumption means that MOL will have to export around 75% of its polyol production at full capacity. September export volumes exceeded a thousand tons for the first time, showing early signs of sales from the new plant.

 

Polish polyol tradeJan-Oct 2024

Polish Polyol Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Belgium

19.110

15.678

China

7.834

5.865

France

4.207

4.634

Germany

27.348

27.527

Netherlands

28.609

25.287

Romania

12.275

13.614

South Korea

1.729

3.314

Others

6.950

14.357

Total

10.708

13.063

Av € per ton

118.770

123.340

Polish Polyol Exports

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Total volume (ktons)

46.192

41.734

Av € per ton

2114.2

2279.3

Polish Polyol Imports

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Total volume (ktons)

118.770

123.340

Av € per ton

1809.3

2203.9

Polish polyol imports amounted to 118,770 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 123,340 tons in the same period in 2023. The Netherlands supplied 28,6039 tons in January to October 2024 against 25,287 tons last year, whilst Germany supplied 27,348 tons against 27,527 tons. Polyol import prices into Poland dropped from €2203.9 per ton to €1809.3 per ton.

Exports of polyols from Poland in the first ten months in 2024 amounted to 46,192 tons against 41,734 tons in the same period in 2023. Destinations for deliveries were focused mostly on Europe, led by Italy taking 6,964 tons in the first ten months followed by Germany with 5,062 tons. Average export prices dropped from €2279.3 per ton to €2114.2 per ton.

 

Hungarian maleic anhydride exportsJan-Sep 2024

 

Hungarian maleic anhydride exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Austria

0.358

2.226

Germany

2.372

1.016

Italy

2.564

2.389

Poland

5.224

2.107

Slovenia

1.352

1.565

Others

6.293

5.405

Total

18.164

14.707

Av € per ton

1181.5

1249.7

Hungary exported 18,164 tons of maleic anhydride in January to September against 14,707 tons in January to September 2023. Average prices dropped from €1249.7 per ton to €1181.5 per ton. Exports of maleic anhydride to Poland from Hungary increased from 2,107 tons in the first nine months in 2024 to 2,107 tons last year.

Hungarian organic chemical exports Jan-Sep 2024

Exports of organic chemicals from Hungary totalled 437,801 tons in the first nine months last year, up from 432,168 tons in the same period in 2023. The largest commodity in the organic chemical sector is TDI, accounting for 41% of Hungarian organic chemical exports in January to September last year by volume and 33% by value. Overall, the value of organic chemical exports from Hungary amounted to €1.126 billion in the first nine months which was down from €1.260 billion in January to September 2023.

Imports of organic chemicals into Hungary amounted to 519,780 tons in the period January to September against 492,170 tons in 2023, with values dropping from €1.285 billion to €1.144 billion. The major organic chemical imports include methanol, toluene, aniline and acrylonitrile.

Hungarian aniline & acrylonitrile importsJan-Sep 2024

Hungarian aniline imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Belgium

8.917

18.650

China

0.000

11.067

Czech Republic

61.675

46.347

Total

70.616

78.095

Av € per ton

1419.5

1449.9

Aniline imports into Hungary dropped from 78,095 tons in January to September 2023 to 70,616 tons January to September last year. Inward shipments from BorsodChem-MCHZ in the Czech Republic amounted to 61,575 tons against 46,347 tons in January to September 2023. Belgium supplied 8,917 tons against 18,650 tons in January to September 2023. Cost prices of aniline imports dropped from €1449.9 per ton to €1419.5 per ton.

Acrylonitrile imports into Hungary dropped from 15,155 tons in the first nine months in 2023 to 12,478 tons in the period January to September 2024. Imports from the Netherlands increased from 8,472 tons to 8,918 tons. Average prices for acrylonitrile imports dropped from €2111.6 per ton to €1678.5 last year.

Polish organic chemical tradeJan-Oct 2024

Polish Organic Chemical Trade

Exports

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Vol (kilo tons)

1,306.2

1,237.9

Value (€ million)

1,081.4

988.6

Imports

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Vol (kilo tons)

3,290.7

3,303.2

Value (€ million)

2,285.8

2,223.5

Polish Organic Chemical Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Acetic Acid

31.300

25.722

Acetone

5.331

6.645

Butadiene

84.330

81.385

DINP/DOP

21.111

19.322

Ethyl Acetate

14.276

17.722

Isopropanol

10.595

9.798

Maleic Anhydride

9.649

10.584

Methanol

563.935

542.178

Propylene

75.993

99.437

VAM

17.828

15.787

Exports of organic chemicals from Poland increased by volume to 1.060 million tons in January to October 2024 to 1.008 million tons in the same period in 2023, whilst imports dropped from 2.656 million tons to 2.614 million tons.

Export values increased from $803.5 million to $861.6 million, whilst import values rose from $1.748 million to $1.817 million. Overall trade remains lower than before the Ukrainian war started but shows a relative improvement over 2023.

Methanol imports into Poland totalled 563,935 tons in January to October 2024 against 542,178 tons in the same period in 2023. For other organic chemical imports Poland imported 31,300 tons of acetic acid in January to October against 25,722 tons in January to October 2023. The UK provided 13,671 tons in the first ten months last year against 5,730 tons in the same period in 2023. The UK replaced the US as the largest supplier in 2024. Acetic acid prices dropped to €637.8 per ton in the first ten months last year against €817.0 per ton last year. Ethyl acetate imports into Poland amounted to 14,276 tons in January to October 2024 against 17,722 tons in January to October 2023. Belgium provided the largest share of imports. VAM imports into Poland amounted to 17,828 tons versus 15,787 tons in January to October 2023.

Polish EO/PO Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

DEG

23.762

28.520

Ethylene Glycol

46.062

97.946

Ethylene Oxide

16.574

19.356

Propylene Glycol

17.874

17.941

Propylene Oxide

5.770

0.312

Maleic anhydride imports into Poland amounted to 9,649 tons in January-October 2024, down from 10,584 tons in the previous year. Imports are currently sourced from Germany, Hungary and South Korea. Isopropanol imports into Poland amounted to 10,595 tons in January-October 2024, up from 9,788 tons in the previous year. Aside Germany, imports come from the Netherlands and South Africa.

Polish Organic Chemical Exports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Acetone

9.615

10.403

Ethylene Glycol

15.247

14.655

Formaldehyde

18.652

19.356

Glycerol

28.530

33.819

Methanol

162.783

232.820

Monochloroacetic Acid

27.666

31.092

N-Butyl Acetate

6.266

8.681

Propylene

12.316

2.849

Propylene Glycol

14.763

11.340

Ethylene glycol imports into Poland dropped in the first ten months in 2023 from 97,946 tons to 46,062 tons in the same period last year. Belgium is the main supplier of glycols to the Polish market. DEG imports dropped to 23,762 tons against 28,520 tons.

Ethylene oxide imports into Poland totalled 16,574 tons in January to October 2024 versus 19,356 tons in January to October 2023. Germany currently represents the main source of inward shipments. Ethylene oxide consumption in Poland is expected to increase after the completion of PCC Exol’s second line of the Ethoxylates II plant at Plock.

 

Regarding export activity in organic chemicals, Polish shipments of monochloroacetic acid (MCAA) amounted to 27,666 tons in the first ten months against 31,092 tons in the same period in 2023. MCAA production is undertaken by the PCC Group at Brzeg Dolny.

 

Other organic chemical exports from Poland include acetone where shipments amounted to 9,615 tons in January-October 2024 versus 10,403 tons in January to October 2023. The main markets for Polish acetone exports included Italy, Germany, Romania and Lithuania.

Czech organic chemical trade Jan-Oct 2024

Czech Organic Chemical Trade

Exports

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Value (€ million)

1,047.3

1,237.9

Vol (kilo tons)

471.0

467.1

Imports

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Value (€ million)

1,088.1

1,144.4

Vol (kilo tons)

572.7

582.8

Czech Organic Chemical Imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Acetone

4.650

4.966

DEG

1.834

1.184

DINP

8.059

3.825

2-EH

18.013

17.824

Ethyl Acetate

2.769

2.849

Ethylene Glycol

7.384

6.531

Methanol

55.594

62.275

N-Butanol

6.478

8.683

Propylene Glycol

3.139

3.265

Czech organic chemical exports amounted in value to €1.047 million in the first ten months in 2024, whilst imports dropped from €944.9 million to €1.088 billion. Import volumes declined from 582,800 tons to 572,700 tons, whilst export volumes rose from 467,100 tons to 471,000 tons.

Czech imports of organic chemicals are led by methanol where volumes amounted to 55,594 tons in the first ten months last year against 62,275 tons in the same period in 2023.

Other products imported include oxo alcohols, both in butanols and 2-EH. Normal butanol imports amounted to 6,478 tons last year versus 8,683 tons whilst 2-EH imports increased from 17,824 tons to 18,013 tons. Oxygenated solvent imports include acetone and ethyl acetate, amounting to 4,650 tons and 4,966 tons in the first ten months last year respectively.

Czech methanol imports Jan-Oct 2024

Czech Methanol Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Germany

5.336

4.759

Estonia

5.173

0.000

Russia

0.000

6.237

Poland

40.666

45.133

Spain

2.272

0.000

Others

4.322

5.074

Total

55.594

62.275

Av € per ton

396.6

378.9

Czech imports of methanol amounted to 55,594 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 62,275 tons in the same period in 2023. Prices per ton for methanol imports increased from €378.9 per ton to €396.6 per ton.

Poland supplied 40,666 tons to the Czech Republic in the first ten months against 45,133 tons in the same period in 2023, whilst the second largest source of supply came from Germany supplying 5,173 tons.

Hungarian methanol imports Jan-Sep 2024

Hungarian methanol imports

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Sep 24

Jan-Sep 23

Germany

45.341

20.511

Netherlands

9.803

18.978

Poland

1.256

10.242

Slovenia

14.486

3.828

Slovakia

0.000

4.591

Others

1.652

3.500

Total

72.787

63.596

Av € per ton

433.4

461.1

Methanol imports into Hungary in January to September increased to 72,787 tons against 63,596 tons in January to September 2023. Imports from Germany increased from 20,511 tons to 45,341 tons, replacing sources from Poland and Slovakia last year. Imports from Slovenia amounted to 14,486 tons in the first nine months last year, against 3,828 tons in the same period in 2023. Average prices of methanol imports into Hungary amounted to €433.4 per ton against €461.1 per ton in 2023.

 

Polish methanol trade Jan-Oct 2024

 

Polish Methanol Imports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Azerbaijan

5.000

4.981

Belgium

135.198

50.133

Estonia

5.920

0.000

Germany

73.564

45.779

Netherlands

59.166

21.210

Norway

45.438

92.687

Russia

0.000

188.185

US

13.577

22.374

Trinidad

74.946

39.512

Venezuela

112.992

20.765

Others

18.104

2.323

Total

544.393

487.949

€ price per ton

318.6

313.1

Polish imports of methanol amounted to 544,393 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 487,949 tons in January to October 2023. Average prices amounted to €318.6 per ton against €313.1 per ton last year. Poland has been developing alternative sources to Russian methanol before the full embargo took full effect in June.

Belgium was the largest supplier of methanol to Poland in the first ten months in 2024, shipping 135,198 tons against 50,133 tons in the preceding year. Venezuela follows Belgium closely having supplied 112,992 tons in the period January to October 2024 against 20,765 tons in the same period in 2023.

Poland Methanol Exports (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Austria

1.546

30.647

Czech

28.451

46.497

Germany

77.376

68.468

Romania

0.000

18.927

Slovakia

21.025

35.388

Ukraine

19.363

20.474

Hungary

0.264

12.285

Others

0.647

0.187

Total

148.671

232.874

Av € per ton

385.6

357.0

Imports from Trinidad into Poland had been lower for the first six or seven months in 2024 but then increased and amounted to 74,946 tons in the first ten months. Imports from Norway dropped in 2024, from 92,687 tons in 2023 to 45,438 tons.

Exports of methanol from Poland amounted to 148,671 tons in January to June declining from 232,874 tons in January to October 2023.

The largest destination for Polish exports was Germany which took 77,376 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 68,468 tons in the same period in 2023. Ukraine imported 19,363 tons of methanol from Poland in the first ten months 2024 against 20,474 tons in 2023. Polish methanol export prices increased from €357.0 per ton to €385.6 per ton. Shipments from Poland to Austria fell in 2024, whilst shipments to Romania completely stopped.

Russian chemical production Jan-Oct 2024

Russian Chemical Production

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ethylene

3831.9

3636.2

Propylene

2160.4

2121.5

Benzene

1134.2

1051.7

Toluene

320.8

303.4

Xylenes

367.0

354.2

Orthoxylene

104.0

100.0

Paraxylene

142.7

149.9

Styrene

579.3

554.8

Ethylbenzene

681.0

617.8

Methanol

3163.6

3243.9

Isopropanol

59.5

55.0

Ethylene Glycol

343.7

123.2

Butanols

109.4

123.2

Phenol

182.2

208.8

Acetic Acid

224.1

159.8

Phthalic Anhydride

77.2

73.8

The chemical industry in Russia performed relatively well in 2024, and at least for now seems largely detached from the deepening problems facing the Russian economy. Producers oriented towards export activity have benefited from the depreciating currency, but domestic markets are expected to come under pressure this year.

For the first ten months in 2024 Russian ethylene production rose by nearly 200,000 tons to 3.832 million tons whilst propylene production dropped slightly from 2.122 million tons to 2.160 million tons. Most petrochemicals saw higher production in the first ten months in 2024 but increases started to stagnate in the second half of the year.

Regionally the Volga region accounts for the largest share of petrochemical production in Russia. Taken in the context of the war most plants in the Volga region are vulnerable to Ukrainian drones, although it is refineries which represent the main target. In the first ten months last year 49.0% of Russian ethylene production took place in the Volga region, including plants Nizhnekamskneftekhim, Kazanorgsintez, Gazprom neftekhim Salavat, Ufaorgsintez and SIBUR-Kstovo. Those same plants accounted for 37.1% of propylene production which is lower than the Ural region where the largest plant is located.

Of the major chemical products, only methanol has faced lower volumes which can be attributed to lower export activity. This meant that production dropped from 3.244 million tons to 3.167 million tons. In the field of aromatics benzene production increased from 1.052 million tons in the first ten months last year to 1.134 million tons in January to October 2024. Ethylbenzene production rose from 617,800 tons to 681,000 tons, whilst toluene increased from 303,400 tons to 320,800 tons.

Contradiction between Russian methanol and fertilisers

Polish Fertiliser Imports from Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

€ million

340.8

165.4

Ktons

1025.0

456.0

Whilst Russian methanol is sanctioned from trading in Europe fertilisers remain mostly exempt and this has provided a way of utilising surplus natural gas, using it to produce Fertilisers that enter the European market at attractive prices. Not only gas but Russian producers are not faced CO2 emission fees, which burden producers in the EU. Whilst methanol exports to Europe ceased after May 2023 fertiliser exports have risen sharply in the past two years as local European producers have been unable to compete against cheaper Russian gas. Poland has been particularly affected, with values and volumes doubling in 2024.

 

Russian polymer production Jan-Oct 2024

Russian Polymer Production

(unit-kilo tons)

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Plastics

9096.4

8854.4

PE

2864.478

2624.397

Styrene Polymers

504.554

471.904

PVC

773.007

799.078

Propylene Polymers

1740.562

1786.320

Polyamide

112.484

110.077

Synthetic Rubber

1168.760

1151.972

Russian production of polyethylene increased slightly to 2.865 million tons against 2.624 million tons in January to October 2023. Polypropylene production dropped from 1.786 million tons to 1.740 million tons, whilst styrene polymer production rose from 385,728 tons to 401,952 tons. PVC production dropped from 799,078 tons in January to October 2023 to 739,411 tons in the same period in 2024. The production of polyamide in Russia showed a minor increase to 112,484 tons from 110,077 tons. Russian production of synthetic rubbers increased slightly to 1.169 million tons in January to October 2024 compared to 1.152 million tons in 2023.

 

Russian ethylene production Jan-Oct 2024

 

Russian Ethylene Production (unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

North Caucasus Federal District

282.024

237.499

Volga Federal District

1831.125

1697.157

Ural federal district

1310.697

1306.752

Siberian Federal District

408.089

384.281

Total

3831.935

3625.689

Russian ethylene production totalled 3.834 million tons in the first ten months tons in 2024 against 3.626 million tons in the same period in 2023. ZapSibNeftekhim at Tobolsk produced 1.311 million tons in January to October 2024, up from 1.307 million tons from January to October 2023. Stavrolen increased production from 189,815 tons in the first ten months last year to 219,464 tons in the same period in 2024.

Russian propylene production Jan-Oct 2024

Russian Propylene Production (unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

North Caucasus Federal District

115.984

94.623

Volga Federal District

792.943

747.436

Ural federal district

805.351

884.495

Siberian Federal District

417.059

381.758

Total

2131.337

2108.312

Russian propylene production totalled 2.131 million tons in the first ten months tons in 2024 against 2.108 million tons in the same period in 2023. ZapSibNeftekhim at Tobolsk produced 805,351 tons against 884,495 tons in the same period in 2023. The Volga-Urals region increased from a total of 747,436 tons in January to October 2024 against 792,243 tons in January to October 2023.

Russian propylene domestic sales Jan-Oct 2024

Russian Propylene Domestic Sales (unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Angarsk Polymer Plant

43.962

21.935

SIBUR-Kstovo

143.560

184.658

Lukoil-NNOS

153.090

129.106

Total

344.126

356.035

 

Russian sales of propylene on the domestic merchant market amounted to 344,126 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 356,035 tons in January to October 2023.

 

The largest propylene supplier to the domestic market was SIBUR-Kstovo, shipping 153,090 tons against 129,106 tons in January to October 2023.

Russian Major Propylene Domestic Buyers (unit-kilo tons)

Consumer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Saratovorgsintez

130.090

138.416

Volzhskiy Orgsintez

10.156

9.659

Akrilat

23.451

20.036

SIBUR-Khimprom

48.233

31.824

Omsk-Kaucuk

17.381

5.523

Tomskneftekhim

10.949

2.248

ZapSibNeftekhim

69.719

89.978

Moscow Refinery

1.460

2.593

Nizhnekamskneftekhim

11.962

1.577

Ufaorgsintez

6.825

10.711

Kazanorgsintez

3.347

3.477

Khimprom Kemerovo

4.475

6.089

Plant of Synthetic Alcohol

5.996

4.049

Total

344.126

356.035

Lukoil-NNOS reduced propylene sales from 184,658 tons last year from 143,560 tons in 2023, after production was disrupted by Ukrainian drone strikes on the Kstovo refinery in January 2024.

ZapSibNeftekhim purchased 69,719 tons of propylene in the first ten months in 2024 against 89,798 tons in the same period in 2023, whilst Saratovorgsintez reduced purchases from 138,416 tons to 130,090 tons. ZapSibNeftekhim needed to buy propylene monomer in order to support production at Tobolsk which is processed into polypropylene. Saratovorgsintez uses propylene for the production of acrylonitrile.

SIBUR-Khimprom at Perm increased purchases from 31,824 tons to 48,233 tons whilst Omsk Kaucuk increased purchases from 5,523 tons to 17,381 tons. SIBUR-Khimprom uses propylene for the production of oxo alcohols. The increase in propylene purchases by Omsk Kaucuk was required to provide feedstock for the production of isopropanol. The other isopropanol producer in Russia is located at Orsk, where in addition to propylene monomer, propane-propylene fractions are used in the production process.

Russian plastics productionJan-Oct 2024

Russian bulk plastics production amounted to 9.096 million tons in January to October 2024 against 8.854 million tons in the same period in 2023 and against 8.561 million tons in 2022.

Production of ethylene polymers amounted to 3.001 million tons in the first ten months in 2024, down from 2.952 million tons in the same period in 2023. ZapSibNeftekhim is the largest Russian producer, increasing production of polyethylene from 1.326 million tons to 1.336 million tons in January to October 2024, nearly all of which comprised main polyethylene grades HDPE and LLDPE.

Regional production of ethylene polymers Jan-Oct 2024

Russian Ethylene Polymer Production by Region

(unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Central Federal District

107.490

119.059

Northwestern Federal District

33.037

33.425

Southern Federal District

33.626

28.309

North Caucasus Federal District

259.378

219.802

Volga Federal District

936.254

930.396

Ural federal district

1335.586

1325.961

Siberian Federal District

295.249

295.065

Far East

0.247

0.146

Total

3000.620

2952.163

The largest plant for the production of ethylene polymers is ZapSibNeftekhim at Tobolsk, located in the Ural Federal District. Production totalled 784,800 tons in the first half of 2024 against 782,500 tons in the same period in 2023.

The second largest region in Russia is the Volga Federal District where production fell from 620,700 tons last year to 546,300 tons in January to October 2024. The Volga district includes producers from Bashkortostan including Gazprom neftekhim Salavat and Ufaorgsintez, and from Nizhnekamskneftekhim and Kazanorgsintez. The two Tatar plants produced a total of 801,500 tons of plastics in primary forms in the first half in 2024, which is 7.6% lower than in the same period in 2023.

Nizhnekamskneftekhim is close to start-up of its new EP-600 cracker which should lead to increased Russian polyethylene production in 2025. One of the tasks of the new EP-600 cracker is to supply ethylene to Kazanorgsintez by pipeline which is currently in the process of increasing ethylene polymer capacity by 20% up to 660,000 tpa. The current production capacities of Kazanorgsintez consist of 654,000 tpa of ethylene, 540,000 tpa of HDPE, including bimodal polyethylene (type PE-100), 230,000 tpa of LDPE, including metallocene linear low-density polyethylene (m-LDPE), as well as medium-density polyethylene (LDPE).

Domestic polyethylene market driven by pipe demand

The pipe market has been the main driver of Russian polyethylene consumption in the past two years but the economic slowdown in the second half of 2024 has impacted on polyethylene sales volumes. Consumption of polyethylene in pipe manufacture increased by 3.6% in the first half of 2024 which was down from 8% in the same period in 2023. This falling trend carried on into the second half of the year.

Production of pipes based on thermoplastics dropped from 795,600 tons in the first ten months last year to 756,100 tons in 2024. The third quarter has seen a slowdown due in part to completed projects, and also due to high interest rates which is preventing some programmes from being started. In 2023 fourteen new production facilities were commissioned or modernised which was necessary for the growth from the pipe boom in 2022-2023.

Russian polyethylenetrade Jan-Oct 2024

Chinese Imports of Polyethylene from Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Kilo tons

283.052

238.651

$ million

259.581

209.628

Av $ per ton

934.4

858.8

Russian polyethylene exports to China increased from 238,651 tons in January to October 2023 to 283,052 tons in 2024, with both HDPE and LDPE showing rises. Average prices for Russian polyethylene exports to China rose from $858.8 per ton to $934.4 per ton last year.

Chinese Exports of Polyethylene to Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Kilo tons

90.250

86.176

$ million

137.941

145.825

Av $ per ton

1528.4

1692.1

Inward shipments of polyethylene from China into Russia amounted to 90,250 tons in the first ten months against 86,176 tons in the same period in 2023. Average prices fell in 2024 to $1528.4 per ton from $1692.1 in the same period in 2023.

South Korean Polyethylene Exports to Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ktons

83.958

74.339

$ million

106.265

98.592

$ per ton

1265.7

1326.3

Imports of polyethylene shipments into Russia from South Korea came to close to Chinese volumes in the first ten months in 2024, amounting to 83,958 tons against 74,339 tons in January to October 2023. Average prices declined from $1326.3 per ton to $1265.7 per ton.

 

Russian Chinese polypropylene production Jan-Oct 2024

 

Russian Propylene Polymers Production by Region

(unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Central Federal District

128.758

112.982

Northwestern Federal District

0.456

0.810

Southern Federal District

10.686

10.724

North Caucasus Federal District

109.784

94.316

Volga Federal District

359.178

344.081

Ural federal district

870.270

945.064

Siberian Federal District

285.251

285.335

Total

1764.384

1786.320

Russian production of propylene polymers totalled 1.764 million tons in the first ten months in Russia against 1.786 million tons in the same period in 2023. ZapSibNeftekhim reduced production from 945,064 tons to 870,270 tons in January to October 2024, whilst Stavrolen at Budyennovsk increased production from 94,316 tons to 109,784 tons.

The Moscow refinery increased polypropylene production from 112,982 tons to 128,758 tons. The Volga region, including Nizhnekamskneftekhim and Ufaorgsintez, produced 359,178 tons against 344,081 tons. The Siberian region, which includes Tomskneftekhim and Polyom at Omsk, reduced production slightly to 285,251 tons from 285,335 tons.

Russian polypropylene tradeJan-Oct 2024

Chinese Exports of PP to Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Jan-Oct 22

$ million

70.793

93.139

49.446

Ktons

30.084

33.347

22.613

Av $ per ton

2353.2

2793.0

2186.6

Chinese Imports of PP from Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

$ million

57.412

107.774

Ktons

68.251

137.070

Av $ per ton

841.2

817.7

South Korean Exports of Copolymers

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ktons

27.595

14.108

$ million

38.300

17.478

Av $ per ton

1387.9

1238.9

Both Russian exports of propylene polymers to China and imports from China into Russia dropped in the first ten months in 2024. Exports of polypropylene from Russia to China dropped from 137,070 tons in the first ten months in 2023 to 68,251 tons in the same period in 2024.

Revenues dropped from $107.774 million to $68.251 million. At the same time imports from China dropped from 33,347 tons in the first ten months in 2023 to 30,084 tons in 2024, whilst costs dropped from $93.139 million to $70.793 million. Exports of propylene copolymers to Russia from South Korea amounted to 27,595 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 14,108 tons in the same period in 2023. Prices for Korean polypropylene increased from $1238.9 per ton to $1387.9 per ton.

Russian PX-PTA-PET production Jan-Oct 2024

Russian Paraxylene Production

(unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Kirishinefteorgsintez

44.168

35.000

Ufaneftekhim

105.647

103.714

Gazprom Neft

60.258

52.315

Total

210.073

191.028

Russian paraxylene production amounted to 210,073 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 191,028 tons in the same period in 2023. Gazprom Neft at Omsk increased production from 52,315 tons to 60,258 tons whilst Ufaneftekhim increased production from 103,714 tons to 105,647 tons.

PTA production at Polief amounted to 299,344 tons in the first ten months in 2024, combined with 180,857 tons of PET at Blagoveshchensk in Bashkortostan. Polief is currently Russia’s largest producer of PET, slightly surpassing Ekopet at Kaliningrad. Ekopet produced 180,354 tons of PET in the first ten months in 2024, whilst the combined plants of Senezh and SIBUR-PETF produced 159,803 tons.

Russian PTA importsJan-Oct 2024

Russian PTA Imports from China

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Jan-Oct 22

Ktons

239.732

202.638

196.086

€ mil

180.052

158.936

170.727

Av $ per ton

751.055

784.335

870.674

Russian PTA imports from China amounted to 239,732 tons in the first ten months in 2024 versus 202,638 tons in the same period in 2023. Nearly all of the PTA imports from China were shipped to Ekopet at Kaliningrad by rail. PTA import prices averaged $751.055 in the first ten months in 2024, down from $784.335 in 2023. Values of PTA imports amounted to $180.052 million against $158.936 million in 2023 and $170.727 million in the first ten months in 2023.

Tatneft’s PTA project planned for Nizhnekamsk is intended to resolve a large part of the import dependency on China, but this new plant is not expected to be completed for several years. In the meantime, Chinese PTA capacity continues to grow and the three major projects under construction at present could increase the country’s capacity increases by 10.6 million tpa by the end of 2026.

Russian PET Imports from China

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Jan-Oct 22

Ktons

254.931

186.719

212.302

€ mil

227.369

172.098

237.105

Av $ per ton

891.9

921.7

1116.8

Chinese shipments of PET to Russia amounted to 254,931 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 186,719 tons in the same period in 2023. Costs of Chinese PET import shipments into Russia rose from $172.098 million to $227.369 million, which meant that average prices fell from $921.7 per ton to $891.9 per ton.

Restrictions to apply to Russian PET packaging from September 2025

From 1 September 2025, three types of plastic containers made of PET packaging will be banned in Russia. PET bottles for the food industry (except for blue, white, green and brown bottles, as well as colourless), multilayer PET bottles and PET packaging with a PVC label (except for shrink bottles) will be outlawed.

Until now producers have been allowed to produce plastic bottles of only a few colours: transparent, blue, green and brown, as well as white for dairy products. The Ministry of Industry and Trade believes that the measure will help reduce containers that cannot be disposed of or recycled, accelerate the transition to environmentally friendly packaging and reduce the impact on the environment. At this stage it is not clear how much impact these changes will have upon total PET consumption in Russia.

Russian synthetic rubber productionand market Jan-Oct 2024

Synthetic rubber production in Russia amounted to 1.165 million tons in January to October 2024 against 1.152 million tons in the same period in 2023. Production tended to stabilise in 2024 but is still much lower than prior to the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine. 2021 was the record year for Russian production, totalling 1.414 million tons in the corresponding ten-month period.

Tyre production in Russia required 222,500 tons of synthetic and natural rubber in the first ten months in 2024 against 194,900 tons last year but still lower than the 239,600 tons in the first ten months in 2022. Manufacturers have never fully recovered from the downturn associated with production restrictions due to the COVID-19 pandemic which was then followed in 2022 with the exodus of Western companies from the market.

Regional production of synthetic rubber

Russian Synthetic Rubber Production by Region

(unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Central Federal District

245.648

231.142

Northwestern Federal District

1.428

0.574

Volga Federal District

827.514

831.017

Siberian Federal District

89.870

89.239

Total

1164.460

1151.972

In the first ten months last year the Volga region accounted for 827,514 tons of synthetic rubber against 831,017 tons in the same period in 2023.

This region provides the main basis for synthetic rubber production in Russia and includes Nizhnekamskneftekhim, Togliattikaucuk, and Sterlitamak Petrochemical Plant. The region accounts for around 70% of total Russian production.

Voronezhsintezkaucuk is the main producer of synthetic rubber in the Central Federal District of Russia, where volumes amounted to 245,648 tons in the first ten months against 231,142 tons in the same period last year. This region accounts for around 20% of total Russian production.

Isoprene rubber production amounted to 222,338 tons in the first ten months last year followed by butadiene rubber with 215,955 tons and SKS-SKMS rubber with 208,337 tons. The highest value rubber sold by Russia is halogenated butyl rubber where production totalled 87,481 tons in the first ten months last year.

Voronezhsintezkaucuk-expansion of thermoplastic elastomer plant

Voronezhsintezkaucuk plans to increase its capacity for the production of divinyl-styrene thermoplastic elastomers (TEP), or SBS, from its first line of 35,000 tpa to 80,000 tpa. Including the second line which was introduced in 2020, total capacity should rise to 130,000 tpa. The cost of reconstruction of the first line which started nearly ten years ago has been estimated at 11 billion roubles. Preparatory work for the project is now underway, and construction could start in the first half of 2025.

TPEs are widely used in road construction, extending the service life of roads, whilst they are also used in the production of consumer goods, in medical devices and in sports equipment. In 2023, 31,000 km of roads were repaired in Russia which included the laying of 243 million square metres of asphalt concrete. More than half of new and renovated roads contain SIBUR's SBS polymers. In theory, the use of SBS reduces the risks of rutting and cracking and reduces the need to repair roads.

ussian methanol productionJan-Oct 2024

Russian Methanol Production

(unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Central Federal District

1021.687

1060.702

Northwestern Federal District

89.291

74.522

North Caucasus Federal District

101.072

94.046

Volga Federal District

1275.839

1367.583

Ural federal district

55.727

54.994

Siberian Federal District

539.031

550.692

Total

3082.645

3202.538

Russia produced 3.083 million tons of methanol in the first ten months in 2024 against 3.203 million tons in the same period in 2023. The largest producer Shchekinoazot decreased production from 1.060 million tons to 1.022 million tons. The Volga region dropped production from 1.368 million tons to 1.276 million tons, whilst the Siberian Federal District (including Gazprom Methanol and Angarsk Petrochemical) reduced production from 550,692 tons to 539,031 tons.

Regarding some of the smaller producers, Azot at Nevinnomyssk increased production from 94,046 tons to 101,072 tons which correlated with the increase in acetic acid production. Other plants where methanol is consumed internally include Akron, Angarsk Petrochemical and Novatek. Akron uses methanol for formaldehyde production, Angarsk Petrochemical uses methanol for MTBE and Novatek uses methanol for gas processing.

Russianmethanol exportsJan-Oct 2024

Russian Methanol Exports by Producer

(unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Azot Nevinnomyssk

11.638

8.830

Azot Novomoskovsk

48.035

53.400

Metafrax Chemicals

190.791

309.927

Gazprom Methanol

220.396

307.414

Tomet

106.562

106.590

Shchekinoazot

421.216

516.894

Total

998.639

1303.056

Russian methanol exports amounted to 998,639 tons in January to October 2024 versus 1303,056 tons in the same period in 2023. Shchekinoazot reduced exports from 516,894 tons to 421,216 tons in the first ten in 2024 whilst Metafrax Chemicals reduced shipments from 309,927 tons to 190,791 tons. Tomet exported 106,562 tons versus 106,590 tons in January to October 2023. Gazprom Methanol reduced exports to 220,396 tons from 307,414 tons.

Russian Methanol Exports to China (unit-kilo tons)

Exporter

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Metafrax Chemicals

141.39

179.996

Gazprom Methanol

220.205

305.525

Tomet

62.149

79.767

Shchekinoazot

227.011

100.735

Total

669.215

666.023

Azot at Novomoskovsk exported 48,035 tons in January to October shipped mostly through the Temyruk and Kavkaz ports to Turkey. However, shipments though the Kavkaz port stopped in the latter part of the year due to drone damage and the prospect of further attacks.

Russian Methanol Exports by Destination

(unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Belarus

101.118

115.651

China

669.215

666.023

Finland

0.000

106.441

Germany

0.000

5.265

Georgia

11.985

0.000

Kazakhstan

48.245

38.163

Latvia

0.000

1.230

Lithuania

0.000

9.019

Netherlands

0.000

20.814

Poland

0.000

126.002

UAE

13.022

7.472

Turkey

173.345

206.975

Others

0.129

0.000

Total

998.599

1303.052

Exports to China amounted to 669,215 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 666,023 tons in the same period in 2023. Volumes to Turkey dropped from 206,975 tons to 173,345 tons, whilst exports to Belarus dropped from 115,651 tons to 101,118 tons.

Although China has replaced Finland as Russia’s main export destination for methanol exports, most of the Russian methanol plants are located in the western parts of the country which means that the freight distances are much larger and costlier than to the EU markets.

Despite the geographical factors Shchekinoazot increased exports to China in the first ten months in 2024 to 227,011 tons against 100,735 tons in the same period last year. This meant that Gazprom Methanol dropped to the second largest Russian supplier, shipping 220,205 tons in the first ten months which was reduced from 305,525 tons in the first ten months in 2023. Metafrax Chemicals reduced exports from 179,996 tons to 141,390 tons whilst Tomet increased shipments from 79,767 tons to 62,149 tons.

According to Chinese statistics imports of methanol from Russia totalled 645,317 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 672,289 tons in the same period in 2023, with costs rising from $177.150 million to $192.534 million.

 

Russian methanol domestic sales,Jan-Oct 2024

 

Russian Methanol Domestic Sales (unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Azot Nevinnomyssk

6.661

5.934

Azot Novomoskovsk

22.219

9.287

Metafrax Chemicals

410.946

394.964

Gazprom Methanol

264.396

240.815

Tomet

212.718

243.337

Shchekinoazot

336.693

327.124

Ammoni (Mendeleevsk)

27.021

21.749

Total

1280.654

1243.210

Domestic merchant sales of methanol increased slightly in the first ten months in 2024 to 1.281 million tons, and now domestic merchant sales exceed exports. Producers have been forced to look at the domestic market for new market outlets.

Metafrax Chemicals increased domestic merchant sales to 410,946 tons in January to October 2024 against 394,964 tons in 2023, whilst Gazprom Methanol increased domestic merchant sales to 264,396 tons against 240,815 tons. Last year Metafrax Chemicals became part of the Roskhim state holding group.

Shchekinoazot increased domestic merchant sales to 336,693 tons in 2024 against 327,124 tons in January to October 2023. At present Shchekinoazot is focused on completing the construction of new facilities for ammonia (525,000 tpa) and urea (700,000 tpa). Whilst the EU has not sanctioned Russian fertiliser trade, it has sanctioned engineering and technology areas of business excluding Western contractors from projects. As a result, Shchekinoazot has been using the Chinese company CNCEC to construct the ammonia and urea plants, in addition to providing the equipment. These new facilities are expected to be operational by early 2025.

Nakhodka methanol project

By mid December almost 60,000 cubic metres of concrete hade been poured into the foundations of Nakhodka Mineral Fertilizer Plant, which is focusing initially on the methanol project. Eight columns for the methanol synthesis unit arrived in several deliveries at the port of Nakhodka in October and the eighth piece of equipment had been installed at the site by 19 November. The first of the eight columns was installed on 23 October. Around 6,000 people are currently working on the project which is scheduled to be completed and working at full capacity by 2027. Most of the contractors are local businesses. The methanol plant is being designed with a capacity of 1.8 million tpa, most of which is intended for export to China. The second stage of the project for Nakhodka Mineral Fertilizer Plant (NFP) involves the construction of a urea plant with a capacity of 3.0 million tpa.

In November the NFP finishes construction of the modern wastewater treatment facilities, which will allow the plant to minimise its impact on the sea bay. All wastewaters will be discharged 550 metres away from the shore as the deepwater discharge technology is considered to be one of the most eco-friendly and cut-edge technologies available.

The construction of the new plant is located next to Gazprom's pipeline system, which stretches from the gas fields on Sakhalin to the port of Kozmino. NFP has signed a twenty-year contract with Gazprom for the supply of natural gas in the amount of up to 3.15 billion cubic metres per annum to serve a methanol plant. Due to the seismic instability of the region, it was necessary to create a solid structure is an important part of the foundation. Also, the foundation will be structured to withstand the load from heavy plant equipment up to 400 tons.

Russian butanol production Jan-Oct 2024

Russian N-Butanol Production (unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

North Caucasus Federal District

13.319

15.580

Volga Federal District

80.217

85.728

Siberian Federal District

22.857

21.892

Total

116.393

123.200

Russian normal butanol production dropped from 123,200 tons in January to October 2023 to 116,393 tons in the same period in 2024. The Volga region, which includes SIBUR-Khimprom, reduced production from 85,728 tons in in the first ten months in 2023 to 80,217 tons in the same period in 2024

Russian solvent productionJan-Oct 2024

Russian Acetone Production (unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ufaorgsintez

21.214

23.780

Kazanorgsintez

31.809

37.683

Novokuibyshevsk Petrochemical

17.059

20.448

Omsk Kaucuk

32.113

25.874

Total

102.195

107.785

Russian acetone production dropped from 107,785 tons in the first ten months last year to 102,195 tons in 2024. Omsk Kaucuk produced 32,113 tons of acetone against 25,874 tons in the previous year whilst Kazanorgsintez reduced production from 37,683 tons to 31,809 tons. The other two producers Ufaorgsintez and Novokuibyshevsk Petrochemical Combine both increased production.

Russian Acetic Acid Production (unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Azot Nevinnomyssk

174.359

129.007

Others

60.355

32.062

Total

234.714

161.069

Russian acetic acid production amounted to 234,714 tons in January to October 2024 against 161,069 tons in the same period in 2023.

The largest producer in Russia, Azot at Nevinnomyssk, increased production from 129,007 tons to 174,359 tons. Aside using acetic acid for the production of butyl acetate and methyl acetate Azot supplies merchant acetic to the Russian domestic market. The two largest customers include Polief which purchases acetic acid for PTA and Stavrolen which uses acetic acid in the production of vinyl acetate monomer (VAM).

Stavrolen produced 37,601 tons of VAM in the first ten months last year from the country total of 43,783 tons. VAM is exported from Stavrolen in quantities of around 2,000 tons per month, most of which goes to Turkey.

Russian Isopropanol Production (unit-kilo tons)

Producer

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Plant of Synthetic Alcohol

26.580

21.786

Omsk Kaucuk

29.702

27.695

Total

56.282

49.481

Russian Polyacrylate Production (unit-kilo tons)

Region

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Central Federal District

78.844

69.403

Volga Federal District

40.986

37.825

Total

125.536

112.195

Isopropanol production in Russia amounted to 49,481 tons in January to October 2024 against 56,282 tons in the same period in 2023. Omsk Kaucuk increased production from 27,695 tons to 29,702 tons whilst the Plant at Synthetic Alcohol at Orsk increased production from 21,786 tons to 26,580 tons. Omsk Kaucuk only started isopropanol production in 2020 and only achieved high utilisation rates in 2023.

Polyacrylate production totalled 125,336 tons in the first ten months last year, up from 112,195 tons in 2023. The biggest region in Russia for the production of polyacrylates is the Central Federal District where SIBUR-Neftekhim produces at Dzerzhinsk. In October last year SIBUR-Neftekhim has resumed the production of ethyl acrylate at its plant in Dzerzhinsk, with a capacity of 32 tons per day. SIBUR has chosen to increase the production of ethyl acrylate for the domestic market, providing the biggest opportunity for sales. Currently the company is the only producer of these light esters in Russia, as well as the heavy ester of 2-ethylhexyl acrylate. Ethyl acrylate is used in the production of acrylic emulsions, varnishes and paints, adhesive compositions, sealants and other polymer products in leather, printing, paints and varnishes, pulp and paper and other industries. It is also used for the production of products in the field of food packaging, medicine and in other areas related to human health and safety.

 

Isocyanate/polyol imports into Russia

 

South Korean Exports of TDI to Russia

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Ktons

25.801

6.020

$ million

49.089

14.282

Av Price $/ton

1902.6

2372.5

 
 

TDI imports into Russia from South Korea have increased last year, rising from 4,216 tons in January to October 2023 to 25,801 tons in January to October 2024. The increase has taken place in 2024 as China has been unable to supply more TDI to compensate for the loss of Western imports. Prices of imports from South Korea amounted to $1902.6 per ton in the first ten months in 2024 against $2375.5 per ton in 2023.

TDI imports from China into Russia amounted to 18,361 tons in January to October 2024 against 18,828 tons in the same period in 2023. Due to much lower prices, costs of Chinese imports dropped from $49.801 million to $36.770 million in 2024.

Russian Production of Isocyanates (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Central

2.108

1.946

Volga

0.930

0.000

Others

0.126

0.026

Total

3.164

1.972

Polyurethane consumption in Russia was stable for most of 2024, although sellers of foam are now concerned about the implications of inflation and almost inevitably lower volumes. Investments into polyurethanes continue even if they are quite modest. The shortage of critical imported MDI put some Russian companies into some difficulty in the second half of 2024, although there was an improvement in the fourth quarter. Currently, isocyanate production in Russia takes place at three locations, but the volumes are very small and do not contribute to the polyurethane producers.

The main isocyanate imported into Russia is MDI, which accounted for 75.4% of all imports in this segment in 2023. The share of Chinese MDI in imports increased from 22.7% in 2021 to 53.5% in 2023. After encountering shortages of MDI in the second and third quarters, Russian consumers benefited in October from an increase in shipments from China. Russian companies have faced significant difficulties since July in paying Chinese suppliers and banks. The weak value of the rouble has made imports very expensive for some consumers.

After sorting out anew payment method between the two countries imports from China amounted to 14,544 tons in October which was the highest amount in 2024. Despite the increase imports from China fell from 99,839 tons in the first ten months in 2023 to 83,129 tons in January to October 2024. Costs of imports fell from $171.177 million to $123.793 million.

Polyol imports into Russia from China increased from 96,974 tons in January to October 2023 to 110,098 tons in the same period in 2024. Import costs rose from $122.700 million in the first ten months in 2023 to $122.336 million last year. Average prices increased from $1825.0 per ton in 2023 to $1417.7 in 2024.

Kazakh production of PP Jan-Oct 2024

Kazakh Exports of PP to China

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Kilo tons

69.325

57.197

$ million

69.448

54.522

Kazakhstan Petrochemical Industries produced 165,000 tons of polypropylene in the first ten months in 2024, of which 13,000 tons were sold on the domestic market and around 150,000 tons were exported. Products are exported to Europe, China, Russia and Turkey, with a special focus on supporting Kazakh processors.Kazakh exports of polypropylene to China amounted to 64,127 tons in the first ten months in 2024 against 57,197 tons in the same period in 2023, with revenues rising from $45,204 million to $48.796 million. KPI produces eight grades of polypropylene, five of which have not been previously produced in Kazakhstan.

Kazakh Petrochemical Production

Product

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

MTBE

37.3

33.1

PP

241.0

154.1

Benzene

26.6

20.0

Paraxylene

109.4

17.8

Petrochemical production in Kazakhstan amounted to 460,700 tons in the first ten months versus 269,000 tons in the same period in 2023. This included a rise in polypropylene from 154,100 tons to 241,000 tons, whilst paraxylene increased from 17,800 tons to 109,400 tons.

In addition, the industry is undertaking projects for the production of butadiene and its derivatives with a capacity of up to 305,000 tpa as well as polyethylene up to 1.250 million tpa with a planned launch by 2030.

Uzbek MTO project-delivery of equipment for PET

Chinese Exports of PET to Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan (unit-kilo tons)

Country

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Kazakhstan

61.155

64.024

Uzbekistan

121.734

97.051

Equipment for the construction of the PET production unit has started arriving at the construction site of the MTO Gas Chemical Complex (GCC MTO). A heat exchanger, manufactured by the Chinese company Wuhan East Petrochemical Equipment will be used in the construction of the PET unit under the supervision of the US licensor, Chemtex. The main purpose of the new equipment is to maintain the optimal temperature in the PET reactor to ensure the required parameters of the final product.

The heat exchanger was delivered to the construction site of the MTO project at Karakul in Uzbekistan by ground. This involved transportation of over 5,000 kilometres across China and along Kazakhstan’s southern border, and then arrived in Uzbekistan through the Yallama border post.

Uzbek MTO project-overall design

The 3D model of the methanol to olefins unit at the MTO Gas Chemical Complex has reached 60% readiness by the end of October, which is sufficient to allow construction to commence. Achieving 60% model completion indicates that the project has reached the "Issue for Construction (IFC) without holds" stage. At this point, the documentation is ready for construction use, and the main and auxiliary equipment has already been designed and ordered. All parameters, dimensional characteristics, main communication lines, connection points, and other critical components are compatible with each other, and no major changes will be made to the project, enabling the EPC contractor to begin construction.

The MTO unit is being designed by the Italian division of the international engineering leader WOOD. Alongside the polypropylene and low-density polyethylene production facilities, it is part of the first start-up complex the group of production facilities at the MTO Gas Chemical Complex, which are the first ones to be constructed and launched.

In addition to the readiness of the first start-up complex, the complete launch of the MTO Gas Chemical Complex requires the finalization of the design and construction of the general plant facilities (GPF). Work in this area is ongoing, and it is expected that 60% of the 3D model of the GPF, being designed by Uzliti Engineering, will be ready by the first quarter of 2025.

The MTO Gas Chemical Complex project is being implemented using a parallel design approach, where engineering work proceeds simultaneously with construction activities, providing added flexibility in project execution and the ability to make necessary adjustments at later stages.

Kazakh polyethylene project-construction

A jv between Técnicas Reunidas SA and Sinopec Engineering Group, has been awarded a contract by KazMunayGaz worth about €2.3 billion. Under the terms of the agreement, the company will design and build an ethane cracker for Silleno's ethylene and polyethylene complex in Atyrau. According to Técnicas, the capacity of the steam plant will be 1.3 million tpa of ethylene. Its construction is expected to be completed by the end of 2028, and then launched in January 2029. The total duration of construction is 45 months with the start taking place in May 2025.

SOCAR Jan-Oct 2024

Azerbaijan Methanol Market (unit-kilo tons)

 

Jan-Oct 24

Jan-Oct 23

Production

421.4

385.0

Exports

402.0

373.7

Value $ mil

83.6

82.1

Azerbaijan produced 421,400 tons of methanol in January-October 2024, which is 5.7% more than in the corresponding period in 2023. Azerbaijan exported 401,959 tons of methanol in the first ten months which is 1.8% higher than in the same period in 2023. At the same time, the value of the volume of export products increased by 14.7%, amounting to $83.855 million.



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